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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED:
Wednesday, September 22, 2010 2:35 PM Jim Little<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION
AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>A
weak upper disturbance moves into British Columbia during the day. This will
support a weak Pacific cold front dragging into northwest Oregon during the
day. Any rain from this system will be confined to extreme northwestern Oregon
and dry weather is expected for the northeast. Winds will be southwesterly,
becoming westerly during the day. Smoke dispersal conditions will be good.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> OUTLOOK
(FRIDAY-SUNDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>An
upper level low settles into the Gulf of Alaska about 600 miles west of the
Queen Charlotte Islands on Friday. Southwesterly flow aloft ahead of this
system pumps up a ridge for the region. This will give dry weather and mostly
sunny skies to the area. Winds under the ridge will be light (favoring
southwesterly) but mixing heights should remain high. Saturday will see the
ridge drift slightly east and the flow aloft will be more southerly but smoke
dispersal conditions will only be fair. Sunday the ridge moves farther east
the flow aloft will be more southwesterly and smoke dispersal conditions will
be good. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
3200 - 4200 ft during the morning. Mixing height rises to above 5000 ft during
the afternoon then lowers to 3000 - 4000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSW to WSW at 9 - 15 mph during the morning. Transport wind shifts to WSW to
WNW at 10 - 18 mph during the afternoon and evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to WSW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning. Surface wind shifts to WSW to WNW at
9 - 15 mph during the afternoon then decreases to WNW to NNW at 5 - 9 mph
during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
3800 - 4800 ft during the morning. Mixing height rises above 5000 ft during
the afternoon then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW
to WSW at 9 - 15 mph during the morning. Transport wind shifts to WSW to WNW
at 9 - 15 mph during the afternoon then decreases to WNW to NNW at 5 - 9 mph
during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to WSW at 8 - 14 mph during the morning. Surface wind shifts to W to NW at 8 -
12 mph during the afternoon then becomes light and variable and controlled by
local terrain during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2200 to 3200 ft by late morning rising above 5000
ft during the afternoon. Transport wind S to SW at 4 - 8 mph during the
morning becoming light and variable during the afternoon. Surface wind light
and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 to 3500 ft by late morning rising above 5000
ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable during the morning
becoming ESE to S at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind light and
variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising above 5000
ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SE to S at 4 - 8 mph during the
morning becoming SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind SE
to S at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming S to SW at 4 - 8 mph during the
afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The following
considerations should be adhered to in addition to<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> the
requirements of the Oregon Smoke Management Plan. These<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Instructions
are valid for burning conducted on Thursday, September 23, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions
within 12 miles to the SSW through NNW of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 20 miles in all
directions of SSRAs. Watch for shifting transport winds. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions
within 12 miles to the SSW through NNW of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 20 miles to the
SSW through NNW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. Complete ignitions by
4:00pm. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
=========================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke
management forecaster is available at (503)-<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401.
Please call this number and not individual's <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> numbers to
discuss daily burning. For large burns (over<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 2000 tons) or
burns extending over a considerable period,<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> please
request a special forecast. Avoid calling before<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 8 a.m. and between
2 to 3 p.m.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast
is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure
your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
</div>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'>Nick
Yonker</span></i><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'>Meteorology
Manager</span></i><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'>Oregon
Department of Forestry</span></i><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:
"Times New Roman","serif"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><i><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif"'>503-945-7451</span></i><o:p></o:p></p>
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