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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Monday,
October 4, 2010 2:35 PM Jim Little<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION
AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
TUESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>Monday’s trough splits...a portion moves
across central Canada and the rest becomes a cut-off low over southern
California. An upper ridge develops offshore and noses into Washington while a
surface thermal trough develops in the central valley of California. This will
give a northerly or northeasterly flow most areas and dry weather for the
region. Warmer air aloft with the ridge will suppress mixing heights. Smoke
dispersal conditions will generally be fair to good. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
EXTENDED OUTLOOK (WEDNESDAY – FRIDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The upper level cut-off low remains over southern
California on Wednesday as a thermal trough builds northward overnight Tuesday
to off the SW Oregon Coast. Weather will remain dry but maximum mixing heights
will deteriorate. By Thursday afternoon the upper level low is pulling out
over NE Nevada. This will bring a chance of showers to the area. Transport
winds will be light an variable. Recommend against planning any burns close to
smoke sensitive areas on Thursday. Friday some scattered showers are still
possible from the remains of the upper level low. Mixing heights will improve
and transport winds will be generally SW-W. </span><span style='font-size:
10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
1700 - 2700 ft during the morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 3800 -
4800 ft then lowers to 2800 - 3800 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind N
to NE at 10 - 16 mph during the morning. Transport wind increases to NNE to
ENE at 14 - 28 mph during the afternoon and evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind N to
NE at 8 - 14 mph during the morning. Surface wind increases to NNE to NE at 12
- 22 mph during the afternoon then decreases to NNE to NE at 8 - 14 mph during
the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
NNE to NE at 12 - 22 mph throughout the day.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind NNE
to NE at 10 - 20 mph during the morning and afternoon. Surface wind decreases
to NNE to ENE at 6 - 10 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1600 to 2600 ft by late morning rising to 3000 to
4000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind NE to E at 4 - 8 mph during the
morning becoming NNE to NE at 10 - 16 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind
light and variable during the morning becoming NNE to NE at 8 - 14 mph during
the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising to 3300 to
4300 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface wind
light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1700 to 2700 ft by late morning rising to 4300 to
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface wind
light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The following
considerations should be adhered to in addition to<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> the
requirements of the Oregon Smoke Management Plan. These<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Instructions
are valid for burning conducted on Tuesday, October 5, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions
within 12 miles to the N through ENE of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 20 miles to the N
through E in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. Care needed in selecting
units as smoke will likely fumigate along the ground in wind prone areas. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions
within 15 miles to the NNE through ENE of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30 miles to the
NNE through E in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. Recommend against burning
units that will smolder significantly overnight. Complete ignitions by
4:00pm. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
=========================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke
management forecaster is available at (503)-<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401.
Please call this number and not individual's <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> numbers to
discuss daily burning. For large burns (over<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 2000 tons) or
burns extending over a considerable period,<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> please
request a special forecast. Avoid calling before<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 8 a.m. and
between 2 to 3 p.m.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast
is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure
your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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