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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED:
Wednesday, October 6, 2010 2:35 PM Jim Little<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION
AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>An upper level low that was over California
Wednesday tracks northeast across Nevada and thin into Idaho during the day.
This will keep showers in the area but as the low moves to the east subsiding
air behind it will suppress mixing heights a bit. Transport winds will be
generally west-northwest to north-northwest. Smoke dispersal conditions will be
marginal to fair.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
EXTENDED OUTLOOK (FRIDAY – SUNDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>Thursday will see dry weather but increasing clouds
during the day from a weather system moving into western Oregon. Rain from
this system should hold off until overnight Thursday then spread eastward
during the day on Saturday. Smoke dispersal conditions should be good on
Friday, fair on Saturday. By Sunday Surface high pressure builds in from the west
for dry weather. </span><span style='font-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.5pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
1500 - 2500 ft during the morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 2500 -
3500 ft then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSW to WSW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning and afternoon. Transport wind
decreases to SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning and afternoon. Surface wind becomes
light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
1500 - 2500 ft during the morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 2500 -
3500 ft then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSW to WSW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning and afternoon. Transport wind
decreases to SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning and afternoon. Surface wind becomes
light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 to 3500 ft by late morning rising above 5000
ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SSW to WSW at 5 - 9 mph. Surface wind
light and variable during the morning becoming SSW to WSW at 5 - 9 mph during
the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1600 to 2600 ft by late morning and through the
afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface wind light and
variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising to 3000 to
4000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind N to NE at 4 - 8 mph. Surface
wind N to NE at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The following
considerations should be adhered to in addition to<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> the
requirements of the Oregon Smoke Management Plan. These<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Instructions
are valid for burning conducted on Thursday, October 7, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Unfavorable burning
situation due to generally poor smoke dispersion. Delay ignitions until
10:00am. Avoid ignitions within 20 miles in all directions of SSRAs. For
units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at
least 35 miles to the SSW through WSW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.
Recommend against burning units that will smolder significantly overnight.
Complete ignitions by 3:30pm. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Unfavorable
burning situation due to generally poor smoke dispersion. Delay ignitions
until 10:00am. Avoid ignitions within 20 miles to the SSW through WSW of
SSRAs. For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid
burning within at least 35 miles to the SSW through WSW in or near drainages
leading to SSRAs. Recommend against burning units that will smolder
significantly overnight. Complete ignitions by 3:30pm. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
=========================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke
management forecaster is available at (503)-<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401.
Please call this number and not individual's <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> numbers to
discuss daily burning. For large burns (over<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 2000 tons) or
burns extending over a considerable period,<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> please
request a special forecast. Avoid calling before<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 8 a.m. and between
2 to 3 p.m.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast
is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure
your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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