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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Sunday,
October 24, 2010 2:35
PM Jim Little</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.
DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 630-638</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
MONDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>A 180 mph jet stream remains aimed directly at
Oregon on Monday. Sunday’s wet and windy storm will be well to the
east of the region, but showers and possible thunderstorms will linger.
Cool air aloft will allow for high mixing heights and good smoke dispersal
conditions most areas. Snow level will be about 5000 feet.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
EXTENDED OUTLOOK (TUESDAY – THURSDAY)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The upper level jet slackens and drops southward
while weak high pressure aloft begins to build over the eastern Pacific on
Wednesday. There will still be a few scattered showers. Mixing
heights will remain high most areas. By Wednesday the upper level
ridge moves over the Pacific Northwest and an upper low develops about 450
miles west of the Washington Coast. Low level flow goes south or south-southeasterly.
Subsidence aloft (sinking air motion) suppresses maximum mixing heights but
smoke dispersal conditions will remain fair to good most areas. On
Thursday the center of the upper low moves to within about 250 miles of the
northern Oregon Coast. Upper flow becomes southwesterly over the
region. A Pacific weather system moves into Washington and Oregon during
the day. Rain spreads in from the southwest by afternoon. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.
DISPERSION</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
3600 - 4600 ft during the morning. Mixing height rises to above 5000 ft
during the afternoon then lowers to 2400 - 3400 ft during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SW
to W at 14 - 28 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SW
to W at 10 - 20 mph during the morning and afternoon. Surface wind
decreases to SW to W at 8 - 14 mph during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2700 - 3700 ft during the morning. Mixing height rises to above 5000 ft
during the afternoon then lowers to 3500 - 4500 ft during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
WSW to W at 16 - 30 mph throughout the day.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind WSW
to W at 12 - 24 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2100 to 3100 ft during the morning rising to 4000 to 5000 ft during the afternoon.
Transport wind SW to W at 10 - 20 mph during the morning becoming W to NW at 10
- 20 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind SW to W at 8 - 12 mph during
the morning becoming W to NW at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 to 2500 ft by late morning rising to 3500 to
4500 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable during
the morning becoming SE to S at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon. Surface
wind light and variable.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 to 2000 ft by late morning rising to 3500 to
4500 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable.
Surface wind light and variable.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 630-638</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The following considerations should be adhered to in addition to</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
the requirements of the Oregon Smoke Management Plan. These</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Instructions are valid for burning conducted on Monday, October 25, 2010.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
==================================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone
630 and 632:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid
ignitions within 10 miles to the SW through WNW of SSRAs. Care needed in
selecting units as smoke will likely fumigate along the ground in wind prone
areas. No additional restrictions necessary. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone
633 - 638:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid
ignitions within 12 miles to the WSW through W of SSRAs. Care needed in
selecting units as smoke will likely fumigate along the ground in wind prone
areas. No additional restrictions necessary. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
=========================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL
NOTE:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)-</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
945-7401. Please call this number and not individual's </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
numbers to discuss daily burning. For large burns (over</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
2000 tons) or burns extending over a considerable period,</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
please request a special forecast. Avoid calling before</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
This forecast is available on the Internet at: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management
</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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