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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Thursday,
October 28, 2010 2:35 PM Pete Parsons<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION
AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='text-indent:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='text-indent:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpFirst style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>An upper-level trough will continue digging
southward offshore, with the center of circulation forecast to be about 250
miles off the central California coastline by evening. South to southwesterly
flow aloft will keep skies mostly cloudy but with a decreasing chance of
showers. Southerly transport winds will weaken with continued fair smoke
dispersal conditions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='text-indent:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK (SATURDAY-MONDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='text-indent:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>The upper-level trough will weaken and gets
kicked inland Saturday with the main circulation center moving across northern
California and Nevada. A moist southwesterly flow aloft will keep skies mostly
cloudy over all of Oregon with a few areas of light rain. Increasing
southwesterly transport winds will maintain at least fair smoke dispersal
conditions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>A weak cold front is forecast to bring a
chance of showers to the region Sunday. Snow levels should remain in the 6000
to 6500 foot range with south to southwesterly transport winds and continued
fair smoke dispersal conditions. A building ridge of high pressure will rapidly
lower mixing heights Sunday evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>A warm front may bring some rain to mainly
northern areas Monday, with snow levels lifting above 8000 feet. Light
southerly transport winds and suppressed mixing heights will likely provide
only marginal smoke dispersal conditions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpLast style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2000 - 3000 ft during the morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 3300 -
4300 ft then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind S
to SW at 10 - 18 mph during the morning. Transport wind decreases to SSW to SW
at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon then shifts to ESE to S at 4 - 8 mph during
the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2200 to 3200 ft by late morning rising to 3100 to
4100 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SE to SSW at 6 - 12 mph during
the morning becoming SSW to WSW at 10 - 20 mph during the afternoon. Surface
wind light and variable during the morning becoming SSE to SW at 4 - 8 mph
during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 to 4000 ft by late morning and through the
afternoon. Transport wind SSW to SW at 15 - 25 mph. Surface wind SSE to SSW
at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 to 2000 ft by late morning rising to 2000 to
3000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SSE to SSW at 10 - 18 mph.
Surface wind SE to S at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The following
considerations should be adhered to in addition to<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> the
requirements of the Oregon Smoke Management Plan. These<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Instructions
are valid for burning conducted on Friday, October 29, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> ==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions
within 15 miles to the ESE through WSW of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30 miles to the
ESE through WSW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. Watch for shifting
transport winds. Recommend against burning units that will smolder
significantly overnight. Complete ignitions by 4 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
=========================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke
management forecaster is available at (503)-<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401.
Please call this number and not individual's <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> numbers to
discuss daily burning. For large burns (over<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 2000 tons) or
burns extending over a considerable period,<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> please
request a special forecast. Avoid calling before<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 8 a.m. and
between 2 to 3 p.m.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast
is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure
your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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