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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Tuesday,
November 2, 2010 2:35
PM Jim Little</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.
DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 630-638</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
WEDNESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>*** Marginal Smoke Dispersal Conditions ***</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>Upper air charts show a broad ridge with its axis
stretching from Arizona northward to Alberta and a broad trough in the Gulf of
Alaska and the eastern Pacific about 900 miles west of the coast. Upper
flow over Oregon is southwesterly. Temperatures aloft will be much warmer
than average for this time of year. The warm air aloft will make the
atmosphere very stable for unfavorable smoke dispersal conditions.
Transport winds will be generally from southeast and light, while mixing
heights will be quite low. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
EXTENDED OUTLOOK (WEDNESDAY – FRIDAY)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>*** Marginal Ventilation Continues Thursday ***</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The upper level pattern slowly shifts east with
little improvement for Thursday. By Friday the upper trough approaches
from the west and temperatures aloft will be much cooler helping to improve
ventilation. Smoke dispersal conditions become good with a brisk south or
south-southwesterly transport wind developing. The initial weather system
will likely not produce rain on Friday, but more moisture moves into the
Pacific Northwest for some rain likely Saturday. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.
DISPERSION</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
1500 - 2500 ft during the morning and afternoon. Mixing height lowers
below 1000 ft during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSE to SSW at 10 - 16 mph during the morning and afternoon. Transport
wind increases to S to SSW at 10 - 22 mph during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SE
to SSW at 6 - 10 mph throughout the day.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
1500 - 2500 ft during the morning and afternoon. Mixing height lowers
below 1000 ft during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SE
to SSE at 10 - 22 mph during the morning. Transport wind decreases to SE
to S at 8 - 14 mph during the afternoon and evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SE
to S at 9 - 15 mph during the morning. Surface wind decreases to ESE to S
at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon and evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
1200 to 2200 ft throughout the day. Transport wind SSE to SSW at 6 - 12
mph during the morning becoming SSE to SSW at 10 - 18 mph during the
afternoon. Surface wind SE to SSW at 4 - 8 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 to 2500 ft by late morning rising to 4500 to
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable.
Surface wind light and variable.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3100 to 4100 ft by late morning rising to 4000 to
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable.
Surface wind light and variable.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 630-638</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The following considerations should be adhered to in addition to</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
the requirements of the Oregon Smoke Management Plan. These</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Instructions are valid for burning conducted on Wednesday, November 3, 2010.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
==================================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone
630 and 632:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid
ignitions within 15 miles to the SE through SW of SSRAs. For units that will
smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30 miles
to the SE through SW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. Recommend
against burning units that will smolder significantly overnight. Complete
ignitions by 3:00pm. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone
633 - 638:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Unfavorable
burning situation due to very poor smoke dispersion. Delay ignitions
until 10:00am. Avoid ignitions within 20 miles to the ESE through SSW of
SSRAs. For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid
burning within at least 35 miles to the ESE through SSW in or near drainages
leading to SSRAs. Recommend against burning units that will smolder
significantly overnight. Complete ignitions by 3:00pm. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
=========================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL
NOTE:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)-</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
945-7401. Please call this number and not individual's </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
numbers to discuss daily burning. For large burns (over</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
2000 tons) or burns extending over a considerable period,</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
please request a special forecast. Avoid calling before</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
This forecast is available on the Internet at: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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