<html xmlns:v="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" xmlns:o="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" xmlns:w="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" xmlns:m="http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40"><head><META HTTP-EQUIV="Content-Type" CONTENT="text/html; charset=us-ascii"><meta name=Generator content="Microsoft Word 12 (filtered medium)"><style><!--
/* Font Definitions */
@font-face
{font-family:Calibri;
panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:Consolas;
panose-1:2 11 6 9 2 2 4 3 2 4;}
/* Style Definitions */
p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal
{margin:0in;
margin-bottom:.0001pt;
font-size:11.0pt;
font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";}
a:link, span.MsoHyperlink
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:blue;
text-decoration:underline;}
a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:purple;
text-decoration:underline;}
p.MsoPlainText, li.MsoPlainText, div.MsoPlainText
{mso-style-priority:99;
mso-style-link:"Plain Text Char";
margin:0in;
margin-bottom:.0001pt;
font-size:10.5pt;
font-family:Consolas;}
span.EmailStyle17
{mso-style-type:personal-compose;
font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";
color:windowtext;}
span.PlainTextChar
{mso-style-name:"Plain Text Char";
mso-style-priority:99;
mso-style-link:"Plain Text";
font-family:Consolas;}
.MsoChpDefault
{mso-style-type:export-only;}
@page WordSection1
{size:8.5in 11.0in;
margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;}
div.WordSection1
{page:WordSection1;}
--></style><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapedefaults v:ext="edit" spidmax="1026" />
</xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapelayout v:ext="edit">
<o:idmap v:ext="edit" data="1" />
</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Wednesday, May 4, 2011 2:35 PM Pete Parsons<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='line-height:115%'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New"'>An upper-level ridge is forecast to flatten and shift eastward, to over the northern Rockies, as a weak upper-level trough moves across the Pacific Northwest. Moisture is limited, so expect partly cloudy skies with only widely scattered showers over higher terrain. Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal. Transport winds will start out southwesterly and veer to west to northwesterly in the afternoon. Afternoon mixing should be good.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK (FRIDAY-SUNDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='line-height:115%'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New"'>A westerly flow aloft is forecast for Friday, with the region between storm systems. Skies should be partly cloudy with just a risk of a mountain shower in the late afternoon and evening. Temperatures should be near normal with westerly transport winds and good afternoon mixing.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='line-height:115%'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='line-height:115%'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New"'>A strengthening westerly jet stream will direct another cold front across the Pacific Northwest Friday night, with a cool upper-level trough moving onshore Saturday. Expect mostly cloudy skies Saturday with rain and snow showers likely by the afternoon. The snow level will start out near 7000 feet and drop to near 5000 feet late. High temperatures will hold near normal. Transport winds will me mostly westerly with good afternoon mixing.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='line-height:115%'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='line-height:115%'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New"'>By Sunday, another unseasonably cold upper-level trough will make camp over the Pacific Northwest. Rain and snow showers will be widespread with precipitation totals over .10 inches common. The snow level will drop to 4-5000 feet. Cold air aloft should make for good mixing with west-northwesterly transport winds. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing height rises above 5000 ft then lowers to 2000 - 3000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind WSW to WNW at 10 - 18 mph during the morning. Transport wind increases to W to NW at 15 - 25 mph during the afternoon then decreases to WNW to NNW at 10 - 20 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind WSW to WNW at 6 - 12 mph during the morning. Surface wind increases to W to NW at 10 - 20 mph during the afternoon then decreases to WNW to NNW at 8 - 12 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 800 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing height rises above 5000 ft then lowers to 2300 - 3300 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW to WSW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning. Transport wind shifts to W to NW and increases to 15 - 25 mph during the afternoon then decreases to WNW to NNW at 10 - 16 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning. Surface wind shifts to W to NW and increases to 9 - 15 mph during the afternoon and evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>In the west mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 to 4500 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. In the east mixing height 2200 to 3200 ft during the morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind WSW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 10 - 18 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming WSW to NW at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 to 4500 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SW to WNW at 5 - 9 mph during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 10 - 18 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming WSW to NW at 5 - 9 mph during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 2500 to 3500 ft during the morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind W to NW at 9 - 15 mph. Surface wind W to NW at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming WNW to NNW at 9 - 15 mph during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The following considerations should be adhered to in addition to<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> the requirements of the Oregon Smoke Management Plan. These<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Instructions are valid for burning conducted on Thursday, May 5, 2011.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> ==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions within 10 miles to the WSW through NNW of SSRAs. For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 15 miles to the WSW through NNW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions within 12 miles to the SSW through NNW of SSRAs. For units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 20 miles to the SSW through NNW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. Watch for shifting transport winds. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> =========================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)-<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401. Please call this number and not individual's <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> numbers to discuss daily burning. For large burns (over<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 2000 tons) or burns extending over a considerable period,<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> please request a special forecast. Avoid calling before<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></body></html>