<html xmlns:v="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" xmlns:o="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" xmlns:w="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" xmlns:m="http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40"><head><META HTTP-EQUIV="Content-Type" CONTENT="text/html; charset=us-ascii"><meta name=Generator content="Microsoft Word 12 (filtered medium)"><style><!--
/* Font Definitions */
@font-face
{font-family:Calibri;
panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;}
@font-face
{font-family:Consolas;
panose-1:2 11 6 9 2 2 4 3 2 4;}
/* Style Definitions */
p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal
{margin:0in;
margin-bottom:.0001pt;
font-size:11.0pt;
font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";}
a:link, span.MsoHyperlink
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:blue;
text-decoration:underline;}
a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed
{mso-style-priority:99;
color:purple;
text-decoration:underline;}
p.MsoPlainText, li.MsoPlainText, div.MsoPlainText
{mso-style-priority:99;
mso-style-link:"Plain Text Char";
margin:0in;
margin-bottom:.0001pt;
font-size:10.5pt;
font-family:Consolas;}
span.EmailStyle17
{mso-style-type:personal-compose;
font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";
color:windowtext;}
span.PlainTextChar
{mso-style-name:"Plain Text Char";
mso-style-priority:99;
mso-style-link:"Plain Text";
font-family:Consolas;}
.MsoChpDefault
{mso-style-type:export-only;}
@page WordSection1
{size:8.5in 11.0in;
margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;}
div.WordSection1
{page:WordSection1;}
--></style><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapedefaults v:ext="edit" spidmax="1026" />
</xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapelayout v:ext="edit">
<o:idmap v:ext="edit" data="1" />
</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Saturday, May 14, 2011 2:35 PM Pete Parsons<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>An upper-level low-pressure system is forecast to finally come onshore just south of the Oregon/California border. Southeasterly flow aloft will continue, with a substantial increase in the amount of moisture circulating into Oregon. Look for widespread showers and/or areas of steady rain and a chance of a thunderstorm.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Significant precipitation is forecast, with locally more than .50” possible. The snow level will lower to 5000 feet. Maximum temperatures will be much cooler (about 15 degrees below normal), which will help to stabilize the air mass and decrease the thunderstorm threat. Cooling aloft will make for fair to good smoke dispersal conditions with mostly southwesterly transport winds.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK (MONDAY-WEDNESDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>On Monday, the upper-level low-pressure system is forecast to open into a general trough, with its axis along the coast. The flow aloft will veer from southeasterly to southwesterly, which is a more stable and drier weather pattern. Expect showers to decrease with partial clearing allowing for a chance of afternoon thunderstorms. The snow level will drop to 4500-5000 feet with surface temperatures remaining 10-15 degrees below normal. Maximum mixing heights should climb above 5000 feet with light south to southwesterly transport winds.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Another weather system is forecast to feed into the general trough over the Pacific Northwest, on Tuesday, with the main energy directed into Northern California and southern Oregon. Skies may start out partly sunny, but clouds will increase with showers likely, and a chance of thunderstorms, by late-afternoon. The snow level will only rise to 5500 feet, with surface temperatures 5-10 degrees below normal. Transport winds will be light, but high afternoon mixing heights will provide fair to good smoke dispersal conditions.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>The upper-level trough appears as if it will finally weaken and shift eastward on Wednesday. A drier northwesterly flow aloft will taper off the shower activity with afternoon clearing. The snow level will be 5500-6000 feet with surface temperatures recovering to within 5 degrees of normal. Afternoon mixing heights should rise above 5000 feet with light northwesterly transport winds.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1500 ft early rising to 2000 - 3000 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 3500 - 4500 ft then lowers to 2500 - 3500 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind S to SW at 9 - 15 mph throughout the morning and afternoon. Transport wind shifts to WSW to WNW at 10 - 20 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind S to SW at 8 - 12 mph throughout the morning and afternoon. Surface wind shifts to WSW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 - 2500 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 3000 - 4000 ft then lowers to 1500 - 2500 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind S to SW at 9 - 15 mph throughout the day.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind S to SW at 8 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 2600 to 3600 ft during the morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SW to WSW at 8 - 14 mph during the morning becoming light and variable during the afternoon. Surface wind SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming light and variable during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 to 4500 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SSW to WSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming light and variable during the afternoon. Surface wind light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 to 4500 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind NW to NNW at 8 - 12 mph. Surface wind NW to N at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR NORTHEAST OREGON ZONES 630-638<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> The following considerations should be adhered to in addition to<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> the requirements of the Oregon Smoke Management Plan. These<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> Instructions are valid for burning conducted on Sunday, May 15, 2011.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> ==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 630 and 632:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions within 12 miles to the S through WNW of SSRAs. No additional restrictions necessary. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 633 - 638:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions within 15 miles to the S through WSW of SSRAs. No additional restrictions necessary. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> =========================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)-<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401. Please call this number and not individual's <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> numbers to discuss daily burning. For large burns (over<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> 2000 tons) or burns extending over a considerable period,<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> please request a special forecast. Avoid calling before<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></body></html>