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<div>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</div>
<div>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER</div>
<div>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY</div>
<div> </div>
<div>ISSUED: Saturday, October 17, 2009 2:40 PM Nick Yonker</div>
<div> </div>
<div>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Front and upper level trough will move across the region later today and tonight bringing mainly some increasing cloud cover over the region. Most moisture will stay to the north of the region. Minor ridging builds in early
Sunday providing some modest stabilization. Expect fair skies on Sunday with variable clouds. Wind flow will be fairly light but with decent afternoon mixing, will make for fair to good smoke dispersion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> OUTLOOK (MONDAY - WEDNESDAY):</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Front and upper level low move into the region early Monday providing a better chance of moisture. Low moves through Monday afternoon and gives way to a minor ridge that will develop over the state on Tuesday. Again, this
ridge will provide just brief and minor stabilization. Another minor front will approach on Wednesday bringing another chance of some light rain mainly to the north. Smoke dispersion should be mostly good through the period under this progressive weather
pattern.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>2. DISPERSION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>SUNDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 2000 ft early rising to 2800 - 3800 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing height rises above 5000 ft then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; "> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SSE to SW at 5 - 9 mph during the morning. Transport wind shifts to SW to W at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon then becomes light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the evening.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; "> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the morning. Surface wind increases to SW to WNW at 6 - 12 mph during the afternoon and then becomes light and variable during the evening.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>OUTLOOK:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MONDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3200 - 4200 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SSW to WSW at 8 - 14 mph during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 10 - 16 mph during the
afternoon. Surface wind SSW to WSW at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>TUESDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning rising to 4000 - 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SW to W at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming WSW to NW at 6 - 10 mph during the
afternoon. Surface wind light and variable.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>WEDNESDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning rising to 4000 - 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SW to W at 10 - 20 mph. Surface wind SSW to WSW at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming
WSW to WNW at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER</div>
<div> RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624</div>
<div>This instruction is valid for burning conducted on Sunday, October 18, 2009.</div>
<div>==================================================================</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Avoid ignitions within 12 miles to the SSE through WNW of SSRAs. Verify transport winds away from SSRAs if burning in any other direction. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>==============================================================</div>
<div>4. SPECIAL NOTE:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)</div>
<div> 945-7401. The smoke management forecaster is available </div>
<div> to discuss specific burns. The duty forecaster phone </div>
<div> number is (503) 945-7401. Please call this number and </div>
<div> not individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please</div>
<div> avoid calling before 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m. </div>
<div> </div>
<div> This forecast is available on the Internet at: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml</u></font></a> </div>
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