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<div class=Section1>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Saturday,
May 15, 2010 2:40 PM Pete Parsons<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION
AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUN</span><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>DAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The upper-level ridge is forecast to progress east
of the state with increasing southwesterly flow aloft and southerly to
southwesterly transport winds. Morning inversions will give way to fair to
good afternoon mixing. The threat of showers or thunderstorms will increase in
the afternoon with temperatures slightly cooler than on Saturday.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
OUTLOOK (MONDAY-WEDNESDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The flow aloft is forecast to become increasingly
moist and unstable Monday, as it turns southerly in response to trough diving
into northern California. Showers and thunderstorms are likely with cooler
temperatures. Afternoon mixing should be good with a strong southerly
component to the transport winds. However, winds may become highly variable
near showers and thunderstorms. The showers will move east of the region by
Tuesday afternoon with a drier weak westerly flow aloft and more of a westerly
wind component at the transport level. The flow aloft, and at transport level,
is forecast to turn southwesterly on Wednesday, ahead of an approaching cold
front.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 500 ft early rising to 3400 - 4400 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing
height rises above 5000 ft then lowers to 1000 - 2000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind S
to SW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning. Transport wind increases to S to SW at
10 - 20 mph during the afternoon then decreases to S to SW at 6 - 10 mph during
the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind S to
SW at 8 - 14 mph during the morning and afternoon. Surface wind decreases to S
to SW at 5 - 9 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning rising to 4100 -
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SE to SSW at 6 - 10 mph during
the morning becoming S to SW at 10 - 20 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind
SE to SSW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming SSW to SW at 8 - 14 mph
during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning rising to 4500 -
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SSW to WSW at 5 - 9 mph during
the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon. Surface
wind SW to W at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming W to NW at 6 - 12 mph
during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning rising to 4500 -
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SSW to WSW at 10 - 20 mph during
the morning becoming SSW to SW at 15 - 25 mph during the afternoon. Surface
wind SW to W at 9 - 15 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> RANGE PORTION
OF ZONE 624<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>This instruction
is valid for burning conducted on Sunday, May 16, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions
within 15 miles to the S through SW of SSRAs. For units that will smolder
significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30 miles to the
SE through SW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs. Recommend against burning
units that will smolder significantly overnight. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke
management forecaster is available at (503)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401.
The smoke management forecaster is available <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> to discuss
specific burns. The duty forecaster phone <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> number is
(503) 945-7401. Please call this number and <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> not
individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> avoid calling
before 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast
is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure
your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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