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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Thursday,
September 30, 2010 2:40 PM Pete Parsons<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION
AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY</span><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainTextCxSpLast style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>A strong upper-level ridge will remain over
the Pacific Northwest but shift slightly eastward. The surface thermal trough
is forecast to shift east of the Cascades with light onshore transport winds.
Ventilation conditions will be marginal due to suppressed mixing heights and
light transport winds. However, increasing onshore transport winds will
improve ventilation conditions late in the day.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormalCxSpFirst style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
OUTLOOK (SATURDAY-MONDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainTextCxSpFirst style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>The upper-level ridge will weaken and
continue to slowly shift eastward. Transport winds are expected to be light
Saturday, before turning strongly onshore Sunday, in response to an approaching
upper-level trough and surface cold front. That will improve ventilation
conditions. Some showers are possible late Sunday and Monday, with the passage
of an upper-level trough.</span><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 500 ft early rising to 1900 - 2900 ft by late morning. Afternoon mixing
height rises to 3500 - 4500 ft then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain. Transport wind increases
to W to NW at 5 - 9 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 - 2500 ft by late morning rising to 3500 -
4500 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable during the
morning becoming SSW to WSW at 5 - 9 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind
light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 - 3500 ft by late morning rising to 4500 -
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SW to W at 6 - 10 mph. Surface
wind SW to W at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 9 - 15 mph
during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 - 3500 ft by late morning rising to 4500 -
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind W to NW at 8 - 12 mph during the
morning becoming WNW to NNW at 10 - 20 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind
W to NW at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> RANGE PORTION
OF ZONE 624<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>This instruction
is valid for burning conducted on Friday, October 1, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Delay ignitions
until 11 a.m. Avoid ignitions within 20 miles in all directions of SSRAs. For
units that will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at
least 30 miles in all directions of SSRAs. Recommend against burning units
that will smolder significantly overnight. Complete ignitions by 4 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke
management forecaster is available at (503)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401.
The smoke management forecaster is available <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> to discuss
specific burns. The duty forecaster phone <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> number is
(503) 945-7401. Please call this number and <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> not
individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> avoid calling
before 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast
is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure
your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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