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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Saturday,
October 16, 2010 2:40
PM Nick Yonker<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.
DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Weak
upper level trough over the region today will dissipate and give way to an
upper level ridge that will build into the region through early next
week. Surface high pressure will build to the north with a thermal trough
moving up from California. This will bring mostly northerly to offshore
flow. Expect mostly sunny skies. Air mass will further stabilize
and with generally light wind flow, make for poor smoke dispersion.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
OUTLOOK (MONDAY - WEDNESDAY):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Upper
level ridge continues to strengthen over the state Monday and Tuesday before
slowly shifting eastward on Wednesday. Expect little change in the
pattern with high pressure to the north and a surface thermal trough to the
west maintaining a very light wind flow. Expect continued stable conditions
through the period and poor smoke dispersion. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.
DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early rising to 2300 - 3300 ft by late morning.
Afternoon mixing height rises to 4000 - 5000 ft then lowers below 1000 ft
during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport
wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain. Transport wind
increases to NNE to NE at 9 - 15 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain through the day.
Surface wind increases to N to ENE at 4 - 8 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early rising to 1300 - 2300 ft by late morning rising to
3000 - 4000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind NE to E at 4 - 8
mph. Surface wind light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height 1000 - 2000 ft during the morning rising to 2500 - 3500 ft during the
afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface wind light
and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height 1000 - 2000 ft during the morning rising to 3300 - 4300 ft during the
afternoon. Transport wind light and variable during the morning becoming
SE to SSW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind light and
variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>This instruction
is valid for burning conducted on Sunday, October 17, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid
ignitions within 15 miles to the N through SSE of SSRAs. For units that
will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30
miles to the N through SSE in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.
Recommend against burning units that will smolder significantly
overnight. Complete ignitions by 4 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL
NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
945-7401. The smoke management forecaster is available <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
to discuss specific burns. The duty forecaster phone <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
number is (503) 945-7401. Please call this number and <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
not individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
avoid calling before 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
This forecast is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
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