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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Monday,
October 25, 2010 2:40
PM Jim Little</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.
DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
TUESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The main jet stream is to the south of the region on
Monday, cutting across the coastline near San Francisco. Skies will be
mostly cloudy with a chance of a scattered shower or two although most areas
should remain dry. Blustery west-southwest winds will continue.
Mixing heights will climb to 5000 feet or above during the afternoon for good
smoke dispersal conditions.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
EXTENDED OUTLOOK (WEDNESDAY - FRIDAY)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>A developing upper level low offshore helps build
high pressure aloft over the Pacific Northwest. Subsidence and warming
aloft will limit maximum mixing heights to around 3000 feet. Weather
should be dry Wednesday and smoke dispersal conditions should be generally
fair. On Thursday the offshore low moves to within about 250 miles of the
northern California coast. Upper level flow backs to southwesterly over
the region and warm air aloft should keep maximum mixing heights to near 3000
feet or so but southerly transport winds should help ventilation. On
Friday the upper low slides into California. Expect a chance of light
rain, south-southeasterly transport winds and improving mixing heights.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.
DISPERSION</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
3000 - 4000 ft during the morning. Mixing height rises above 5000 ft
during the afternoon then lowers below 1000 ft during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
WSW to WNW at 10 - 18 mph during the morning and afternoon. Transport
wind decreases to WNW to NW at 8 - 14 mph during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind WSW
to WNW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning and afternoon. Surface wind
becomes light and variable and controlled by local terrain during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 - 3500 ft by late morning and through the
afternoon. Transport wind SE to S at 10 - 16 mph during the morning
becoming SSE to SSW at 14 - 28 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind SE
to S at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming SSE to SSW at 10 - 16 mph during
the afternoon.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below
1000 ft early rising to 1000 - 2000 ft by late morning rising to 2500 - 3500 ft
during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface
wind light and variable.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 - 3000 ft by late morning rising to 4500 -
5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable during
the morning becoming ESE to SSE at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.
Surface wind light and variable.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>This instruction
is valid for burning conducted on Tuesday, October 26, 2010.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==================================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid
ignitions within 15 miles to the WSW through NW of SSRAs. For units that
will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30
miles to the WSW through NW in or near drainages leading to SSRAs.
Recommend against burning units that will smolder significantly
overnight. Complete ignitions by 3:30pm. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL
NOTE:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
945-7401. The smoke management forecaster is available </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
to discuss specific burns. The duty forecaster phone </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
number is (503) 945-7401. Please call this number and </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
not individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
avoid calling before 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
This forecast is available on the Internet at: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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