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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Tuesday,
November 9, 2010 2:40
PM Jim Little</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.
DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
WEDNESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The weather system that brought rain or snow to much
of the region on Tuesday moves south and east on Wednesday while an upper level
ridge builds to the west and slowly drifts over the Pacific Northwest.
The ridge should help stabilize the atmosphere. However, expect mostly
cloudy skies and a few lingering showers. Ventilation conditions will be
mostly fair and winds generally northwesterly. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
EXTENDED OUTLOOK (THURSDAY – SATURDAY)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The upper ridge moves through during the day
Thursday. Maximum mixing heights remain suppressed with poor to marginal
smoke dispersal conditions. Winds most areas will be light and variable
becoming southerly later in the day. On Friday a broad ridge again builds
over the eastern Pacific and noses in over the Pacific Northwest. Dryer
weather and more sunshine will warm near-surface layers and push maximum mixing
heights higher to improve ventilation conditions for both Friday and
Saturday. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.
DISPERSION</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2400 - 3400 ft during the morning and afternoon. Mixing height lowers
below 1000 ft during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
WNW to NNW at 6 - 10 mph during the morning. Transport wind shifts to NNW
to NE at 5 - 9 mph during the afternoon then increases to NNE to NE at 8 - 14 mph
during the evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind WNW
to NNW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning. Surface wind becomes light and
variable and controlled by local terrain during the afternoon and evening.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 - 2000 ft by late morning and through the
afternoon. Transport wind ESE to SSE at 4 - 8 mph during the morning
becoming S to SW at 10 - 18 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind light
and variable during the morning becoming S to SW at 5 - 9 mph during the
afternoon.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 2500 - 3500 ft during the
afternoon. Transport wind NW to NNE at 4 - 8 mph. Surface wind NW
to NNE at 4 - 8 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below
1000 ft early rising to 1000 - 2000 ft by late morning rising to 2500 - 3500 ft
during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable during the
morning becoming WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon. Surface
wind light and variable during the morning becoming WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph
during the afternoon.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>This
instruction is valid for burning conducted on Wednesday, November 10, 2010.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==================================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid
ignitions within 15 miles to the WNW through ENE of SSRAs. For units that
will smolder significantly through the night avoid burning within at least 30
miles in all directions of SSRAs. Verify transport winds away from SSRAs
if burning in any other direction. Watch for shifting transport
winds. Recommend against burning units that will smolder significantly
overnight. Complete ignitions by 2:30pm. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL
NOTE:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
945-7401. The smoke management forecaster is available </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
to discuss specific burns. The duty forecaster phone </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
number is (503) 945-7401. Please call this number and </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
not individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
avoid calling before 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
This forecast is available on the Internet at: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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