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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Monday,
May 16, 2011<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>2:40 PM<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Nick <span class=SpellE>Yonker</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Upper
level trough remains over the state through tomorrow bringing continued cool
and unstable conditions.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>With daytime
heating this instability should lead to scattered showers, especially over the
mountainous terrain.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Other than brief
stability during the early morning, mixing heights will be good to
excellent.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Wind flow will be variable
but favoring SW to NW flow.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK
(WEDNESDAY - FRIDAY):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Upper
level trough weakens and moves off to the east beginning Wednesday allowing a
minor ridge to approach the state and influence the region for the remainder of
the week.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Air mass will dry and stabilize
some, but afternoon heating will make for mostly good daytime mixing through
the period. Wind flow turns northerly Wednesday and Thursday then turns onshore
Friday as a modest marine push moves into the region.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span class=GramE><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 3000 ft early rising to
3000 - 4000 ft by late morning.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Afternoon mixing height rises above 5000 ft
then lowers to 2000 - 3000 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport
wind S to SW at 8 - 12 mph during the morning.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>Transport wind shifts to WSW to WNW and increases to 10 - 18 mph during
the afternoon then decreases to W to NW at 6 - 12 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span class=GramE><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSE to SW at 6 - 10 mph during
the morning.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Surface wind shifts to WSW to WNW and
increases to 9 - 15 mph during the afternoon then decreases to WSW to NW at 5 -
9 mph during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span class=GramE><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to
3000 - 4000 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.</span></span><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>Transport wind NNW to NNE at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming NNW
to NNE at 10 - 18 mph during the afternoon.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span><span class=GramE>Surface wind NNW to NE at 4 - 8 mph during the morning
becoming NNW to NNE at 9 - 15 mph during the afternoon.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span class=GramE><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to
2700 - 3700 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.</span></span><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>Transport wind NNW to NE at 6 - 12 mph.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span><span class=GramE>Surface wind NNW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span class=GramE><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to
3000 - 4000 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon.</span></span><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>Transport wind light and variable during the morning becoming WSW to WNW
at 9 - 15 mph during the afternoon.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span
class=GramE>Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming WSW to
WNW at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625
INCLUDING THE WALKER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>This instruction
is valid for burning conducted on Tuesday, May 17, 2011.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid
ignitions within 12 miles to the S through NW of SSRAs.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>For units that will smolder significantly
through the night avoid burning within at least 20 miles in all directions of
SSRAs.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Watch for shifting transport
winds.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>The smoke management forecaster is
available at (503)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>945-7401<span class=GramE>.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>The</span> smoke management forecaster is
available <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>to</span> discuss
specific burns.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>The duty forecaster
phone <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>number</span> is (503)
945-7401. Please call this number and <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>not</span> individual's
numbers to discuss daily burning. Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>avoid</span> calling
before 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>This forecast is available on the Internet
at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Please ensure your units have been planned
and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
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