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<div>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</div>
<div>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER</div>
<div>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY</div>
<div> </div>
<div>ISSUED: Thursday, May 14, 2009 2:30 PM Nick Yonker</div>
<div> </div>
<div>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Upper level ridge will build into the state tonight and Friday bringing sunshine and warmer temperatures. Air mass will stabilize some during the night and morning hours but daytime heating should provide good mixing. Wind
flow will be light, favoring offshore to northerly flow as surface high pressure builds to the north. Smoke dispersion will be mostly fair.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> OUTLOOK (SATURDAY - MONDAY)</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Upper level ridge continues to build over the state on Saturday and early Sunday, further stabilizing the air mass. Ridge will then drift eastward Sunday, opening the door for the next frontal system on Monday. Expect mostly
sunny skies and warm temperatures through Sunday. The approaching trough will likely set off an afternoon marine push on Sunday. Clouds increase Monday with moisture moving in during the late morning to early afternoon. Air mass destabilizes and smoke dispersion
improves Monday as the front and trough move in.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>2. DISPERSION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1800 - 2800 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind N to NE at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 2300 - 3300 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NNE at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to N at 8 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605-611 (North Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 - 3500 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind N to ENE at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors N to NE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 3500 - 4500 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NNW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind NW to N at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2200 - 3200 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind N to NE at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 2700 - 3700 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NNE at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft after sunset.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 - 3500 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind increases to NNW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NW to N at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft after sunset.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>OUTLOOK:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>SATURDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2300 to 3300 ft by late morning rising to 3300 to 4300 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable during the morning becoming NW to N at 5 - 9 mph during the afternoon.
Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming NW to N at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>SUNDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising to 3000 to 4000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind NW to N at 4 - 8 mph. Surface wind NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MONDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2800 to 3800 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SW to W at 8 - 14 mph during the morning becoming SW to WSW at 12 - 24 mph during the afternoon.
Surface wind SW to WNW at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming SW to W at 10 - 16 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA</div>
<div>These instructions are valid for burning conducted on Friday, May 15, 2009.</div>
<div>=================================================================</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Coast Range</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601 and 612</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind SSRAs. Higher tonnage is possible south of Waldport in Zone 612. Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 602 and 603</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind SSRAs. Avoid ignitions north of Forest Grove/Hillsboro or Sheridan/Willamina in Zone 602. Higher tonnage is possible south of T17S in Zone
603. Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 615</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 2000 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616 west of R8W</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616 east of R9W</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs. Restrict units to 500 tons or less south of T30S.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 618 and 619</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 620</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">No burning allowed. Some burning allowed south of the Rogue River. Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Cascades</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605 and 606</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles of the SSRA. Higher tonnage is possible south of T20S in Zone 606.
Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 607 and 608</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 609, 610, 611, 617, and 623</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate. South of T30S in Zone 617 units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. South of T30S units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 620 and 622</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Siskiyous</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)</div>
<div> </div>
<div>==============================================================</div>
<div>4. SPECIAL NOTE:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to</div>
<div> discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to </div>
<div> discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, </div>
<div> leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.</div>
<div> Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. </div>
<div> </div>
<div> The forecast is available on the Internet at: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster </div>
<div> prior to ignition.</div>
<div> </div>
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