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<div>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</div>
<div>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER</div>
<div>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY</div>
<div> </div>
<div>ISSUED: Saturday, May 16, 2009 2:30 PM Nick Yonker</div>
<div> </div>
<div>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Upper level ridge will remain strong over the region through tomorrow providing probably the warmest temperatures of the year. Air mass will remain stable with a brief period of good mixing in the interior during maximum afternoon
heating. Wind flow will remain light northerly leading to most poor to fair smoke dispersion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> OUTLOOK (MONDAY - WEDNESDAY)</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Upper ridge will shift to the east on Monday as an upper trough and minor front approach. Marine push will move inland during the afternoon, cooling down the very warm temperatures and shifting smoke inland for any Coast Range
burning. Trough and front move in Tuesday providing a little moisture over the coast and northern interior. Air mass destabilizes and dispersion improves under decent onshore flow. Trough moves to the east Wednesday with a flat ridge replacing it. Wind
flow turns northerly again. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>2. DISPERSION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 1000 - 2000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NNE at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 2000 - 3000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to N at 9 - 15 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605-611 (North Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 - 2500 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NNE at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height rising to 3500 - 4500 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind similar to morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NW to NNE at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft after sunset.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NNE at 9 - 15 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1300 - 2300 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind NW to NNE at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height rising to 2500 - 3500 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind NW to N at 8 - 14 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft after sunset.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1700 - 2700 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind increases to NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to WNW to NNW at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft after sunset.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to N at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind NW to N at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>OUTLOOK:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MONDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 to 2500 ft by late morning rising to 3000 to 4000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind NNW to NNE at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph during
the afternoon. Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming WSW to NW at 6 - 12 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>TUESDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 to 4000 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SW to WSW at 10 - 22 mph. Surface wind SW to W at 8 - 12 mph during the morning becoming
W to NW at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>WEDNESDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 to 4500 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind NNW to NNE at 8 - 12 mph. Surface wind NNW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA</div>
<div>These instructions are valid for burning conducted on Sunday, May 17, 2009.</div>
<div>=================================================================</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Coast Range</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601 and 612</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind SSRAs. Higher tonnage is possible south of Waldport in Zone 612. Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 602 and 603</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 300 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind SSRAs. Higher tonnage is possible south of T17S in Zone 603. Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 615</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 2000 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616 west of R8W</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616 east of R9W</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs. Restrict units to 500 tons or less south of T30S.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 618 and 619</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 620</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">No burning allowed. Some burning allowed south of the Rogue River. Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Cascades</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605, 606, and 610</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles of the SSRA in Zone 605 and 606. Higher tonnage is possible south
of T20S in Zone 606. Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 607, 608, 609, 611, 616, 617, and 623</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate. South of T30S in Zone 616 units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 620 and 622</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. East of R2W in Zone 622, use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Siskiyous</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)</div>
<div> </div>
<div>==============================================================</div>
<div>4. SPECIAL NOTE:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to</div>
<div> discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to </div>
<div> discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, </div>
<div> leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.</div>
<div> Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. </div>
<div> </div>
<div> The forecast is available on the Internet at: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster </div>
<div> prior to ignition.</div>
<div> </div>
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