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<div>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</div>
<div>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER</div>
<div>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY</div>
<div> </div>
<div>ISSUED: Friday, October 2, 2009 2:30 PM Nick Yonker</div>
<div> </div>
<div>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Upper level low will be dropping into the state tonight and tomorrow bringing cool northerly flow over the region. Expect some scattered showers but amounts will be light. Snow level will be 4000 - 5000 ft. Air mass will
remain unstable and smoke dispersion good.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> OUTLOOK (SUNDAY - TUESDAY)</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Upper level low will remain over the region into Sunday but will be drifting to the south. The low will finally weaken and exit the region by Monday with cool, northerly flow remaining as an upper ridge struggles to nose in
to the north. Ridge will turn wind flow to offshore on Monday and continue offshore flow through Tuesday. Air mass will remain unstable through Monday before stabilizing Monday night and Tuesday.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>2. DISPERSION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601-612 (North Coast Range and Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to N at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NW to N.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind similar to morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height remains above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to N at 9 - 15 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 615-623 (South Coast Range and Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NW tp N.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NNE at 9 - 15 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NW to N at 8 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height remains above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to NE at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind NW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>OUTLOOK:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>SUNDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft throughout the day. Transport wind NNW to N at 10 - 16 mph. Surface wind NW to N at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MONDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 4000 to 5000 ft by late morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind NNE to ENE at 8 - 14 mph. Surface wind NE to E at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming
NNW to NE at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>TUESDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2000 to 3000 ft by late morning rising to 2800 to 3800 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind NE to E at 8 - 14 mph. Surface wind NE to E at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming
N to NE at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA</div>
<div>These instructions are valid for burning conducted on Saturday and Sunday, October 3 and 4, 2009.</div>
<div>=================================================================</div>
<div> </div>
<div>For Saturday:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Coast Range</div>
<div> </div>
<div>All Zones</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Cascades</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 611, 616, 617, and 623</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles of the SSRA in Zone 605 and 606.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 610</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 620 and 622</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Siskiyous</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>For Sunday:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Coast Range</div>
<div> </div>
<div>All Zones</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Cascades</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605 and 606</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles of the SSRA. Higher tonnage is possible south of T20S in Zone 606.
Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 607 and 608</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 2000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 609, 610, 611, 616, 617, and 623</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 620 and 622</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Siskiyous</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>==============================================================</div>
<div>4. SPECIAL NOTE:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to</div>
<div> discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to </div>
<div> discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, </div>
<div> leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.</div>
<div> Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. </div>
<div> </div>
<div> The forecast is available on the Internet at: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster </div>
<div> prior to ignition.</div>
<div> </div>
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