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<div>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</div>
<div>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER</div>
<div>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY</div>
<div> </div>
<div>ISSUED: Friday, October 9, 2009 2:30 PM Nick Yonker</div>
<div> </div>
<div>****Due to the increase in fall burning, smoke management will begin staffing the office on weekends starting this Sunday. Seven-day-a-week operations will continue until burning slows down later this fall. Office hours will be from 6:30 a.m. to 5 p.m.
Our phone number for burning related questions is: 503-945-7401.****</div>
<div> </div>
<div>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Dry cold front is moving down from the north today and will bring cooler temperatures to the region into the weekend. Air mass will destabilize some as the cooler air moves in aloft. Expect continued sunny skies. Wind flow
turns offshore tonight and will be mostly offshore to northerly Saturday leading to fair smoke dispersion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> OUTLOOK (SUNDAY - TUESDAY)</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Northerly flow weakens on Sunday as a weak ridge approaches ahead of an impressive eastern Pacific trough. The ridge will move through Monday with the upper level trough following on Tuesday. Front will move in late Monday
night to early Tuesday bringing rain into the state. Wind flow will turn from N to E on Sunday to E to S on Monday and southerly on Tuesday. Smoke dispersion will gradually improve through the period.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>2. DISPERSION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1700 - 2700 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNE to ENE at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind NNE to ENE at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height rising to 3300 - 4300 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind N to NE at 8 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind N to ENE at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind N to NE at 10 - 16 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind NNW to NE at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605-611 (North Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind N to ENE at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors N to NE.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 4000 - 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind N to NE at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to N to NE at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNE to ENE at 9 - 15 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1700 - 2700 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height rising to 2800 - 3800 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NNW to N at 8 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind NNW to NE at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 2300 - 3300 ft by late morning.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind light and variable but favors NNW to NNE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height rising to 4000 - 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind increases to NW to N at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to WNW to NNW at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height lowers below 1000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind NW to NNE at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind becomes light and variable but favors NNW to NNE and controlled by local terrain.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>OUTLOOK:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>SUNDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">In the Coast Range mixing height below 1000 ft early, rising to 2700 to 3700 ft by late morning rising to 3800 to 4800 ft during the afternoon. In the Cascades mixing height below 1000 ft early, rising to 3500 to 4500 ft by
late morning rising to 4200 to 5000 ft during the afternoon. In the Coast Range transport wind NNE to ENE at 8 - 16 mph. In the Cascades transport wind N to NE at 8 - 12 mph. In the north surface wind NE to ENE at 8 - 12 mph. In the south surface wind light
and variable during the morning becoming NW to N at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MONDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1500 to 2500 ft by late morning rising to 2500 to 3500 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SE to S at 8 - 12 mph. Surface wind ESE to SSE at 6 - 10 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>TUESDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 1500 to 2500 ft during the morning rising to 4000 to 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SE to S at 15 - 25 mph. Surface wind SE to S at 10 - 16 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA</div>
<div>These instructions are valid for burning conducted on Saturday, October 10, 2009.</div>
<div>=================================================================</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Coast Range</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601, 602, 603, 612, 615, 618, and 619</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Avoid burning directly upwind of coastal SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616 west of R8W</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616 east of R9W</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 620</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs. Higher tonnage is possible south of the Rogue River. Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Cascades</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605 and 606</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles of the SSRA. Higher tonnage is possible south of T20S in Zone 606.
Call the forecaster.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 607 and 608</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 609, 610, 611, 616, 617, and 623</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 620 and 622</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Siskiyous</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)</div>
<div> </div>
<div>==============================================================</div>
<div>4. SPECIAL NOTE:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to</div>
<div> discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to </div>
<div> discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, </div>
<div> leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.</div>
<div> Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. </div>
<div> </div>
<div> The forecast is available on the Internet at: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster </div>
<div> prior to ignition.</div>
<div> </div>
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