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<div>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</div>
<div>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER</div>
<div>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY</div>
<div> </div>
<div>ISSUED: Friday, November 6, 2009 2:30 PM Nick Yonker</div>
<div> </div>
<div>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Cold front quickly passed to the east early this morning leaving the region under a cool trough pattern with the jet stream overhead. This will lead to continued showery and blustery conditions through tomorrow. Air mass
will remain unstable and smoke dispersion excellent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> OUTLOOK (SUNDAY - TUESDAY)</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Upper level trough weakens on Sunday with a minor ridge building in and shutting off most of the shower activity. However, next front and trough will be fast on its heels and move in Monday morning. Front gets hung up most
of the day near the coast, bringing plenty of moisture there, but little over the Cascades and to the east. The front will kick through Monday night with the upper level trough slowly moving in on Tuesday. Expect more cool, moist and unstable conditions.
Smoke dispersion will generally be good to excellent through the period.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>2. DISPERSION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601-612 (North Coast Range and Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SW at 18 - 32 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind SSW to SW at 10 - 20 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SW at 22 - 38 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind SSW to SW at 15 - 25 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height remains above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind decreases to SW to W at 14 - 28 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind decreases to SW to W at 9 - 15 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SW to WSW at 15 - 25 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind S to SW at 8 - 14 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SW at 18 - 32 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind SSW to WSW at 10 - 18 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height remains above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind decreases to SW to WSW at 10 - 22 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind SW to WSW at 8 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SW to WSW at 9 - 15 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind SSE to SW at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SW to WSW at 10 - 20 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind shifts to SW to W at 8 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height remains above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SW to W at 8 - 12 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>OUTLOOK:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>SUNDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">In the north mixing height above 5000 ft throughout the day. In the south mixing height 2500 to 3500 ft throughout the day. In the north transport wind SSW to SW at 10 - 18 mph. In the south transport wind SSE to SSW at
4 - 8 mph. Surface wind SSE to SSW at 4 - 8 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MONDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">In the north mixing height below 1000 ft early, rising to 3000 to 4000 ft by late morning rising to 4200 to 5000 ft during the afternoon. In the south mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1800 to 2800 ft by late morning
rising to 3200 to 4200 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SSE to SSW at 25 - 40 mph during the morning becoming SSW to SW at 20 - 35 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind SSE to S at 12 - 24 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>TUESDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft throughout the day. Transport wind SW to W at 8 - 14 mph. Surface wind light and variable during the morning becoming WSW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA</div>
<div>These instructions are valid for burning conducted on Saturday, November 7, 2009.</div>
<div>=================================================================</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Coast Range</div>
<div> </div>
<div>All Zones</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Cascades</div>
<div> </div>
<div>All zones except zone 611</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 611</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Siskiyous</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>==============================================================</div>
<div>4. SPECIAL NOTE:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to</div>
<div> discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to </div>
<div> discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, </div>
<div> leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.</div>
<div> Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. </div>
<div> </div>
<div> The forecast is available on the Internet at: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster </div>
<div> prior to ignition.</div>
<div> </div>
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