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<div>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</div>
<div>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER</div>
<div>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY</div>
<div> </div>
<div>ISSUED: Friday, November 20, 2009 2:30 PM Nick Yonker</div>
<div> </div>
<div>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Cold front is moving through the region today and will have moved east of the region by this evening. Cold upper level trough will move through overnight and bring a few lingering showers. Next frontal system and trough race
toward the region tomorrow with moisture beginning again by the afternoon. Expect mostly unstable conditions and brisk wind flow, leading to excellent smoke dispersion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> OUTLOOK (SUNDAY - TUESDAY)</div>
<div> </div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Upper level trough will move through the state early Sunday following Saturday night’s front. Upper level ridge will follow and bring mostly dry conditions through Tuesday. A warm front will ride over the top and may give
a little moisture to the extreme northern part of the state. After unstable conditions on Sunday, the air mass will stabilize through Tuesday. Expect good to excellent smoke dispersion Sunday then deteriorating dispersion Monday and Tuesday.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>2. DISPERSION</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 601, 602, 603, 612 and 615-620 (North and South Coast Range):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SSW at 18 - 32 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind S to SW at 10 - 20 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SSW at 22 - 40 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind S to SSW at 13 - 25 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 3500 - 4500 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SSW at 30 - 50 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind SSW at 19 - 33 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 605-611 (North Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind S to SW at 15 - 30 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind S to SW at 9 - 15 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SSW at 22 - 38 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to S to SSW at 12 - 24 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 3500 - 4500 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind S at 28 - 48 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind similar to afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MORNING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind SSE to SSW at 10 - 16 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind SSE to SSW at 8 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>AFTERNOON</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height above 5000 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind increases to S to SW at 15 - 25 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind S to SW at 6 - 12 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>EVENING</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 2500 - 3500 ft.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Transport wind S at 18 - 32 mph.</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Surface wind increases to SSE to SSW at 10 - 20 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>OUTLOOK:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>SUNDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height 4400 to 5000 ft during the morning rising above 5000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind W to NW at 15 - 25 mph during the morning becoming W to NW at 8 - 12 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind W to NW
at 10 - 16 mph during the morning becoming WSW to NW at 5 - 9 mph during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>MONDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 to 1600 ft by late morning and through the afternoon. Transport wind SSW to WSW at 10 - 16 mph during the morning becoming SW to W at 10 - 22 mph during the afternoon. Surface
wind SSE to SSW at 5 - 9 mph.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>TUESDAY</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Mixing height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 to 1600 ft by late morning and through the afternoon. Transport wind SSE to SSW at 5 - 9 mph. Surface wind SE to S at 4 - 8 mph during the morning becoming light and variable
during the afternoon.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA</div>
<div>These instructions are valid for burning conducted on Saturday, November 21, 2009.</div>
<div>=================================================================</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Coast Range</div>
<div> </div>
<div>All Zones</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Cascades</div>
<div> </div>
<div>All zones except zone 611</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles of the SSRA in Zone 605 and 606.
Avoid ignitions north of T24S in Zone 616.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Zone 611</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Siskiyous</div>
<div style="padding-left: 36pt; ">Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>==============================================================</div>
<div>4. SPECIAL NOTE:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to</div>
<div> discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to </div>
<div> discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, </div>
<div> leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.</div>
<div> Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. </div>
<div> </div>
<div> The forecast is available on the Internet at: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </div>
<div> <a href="http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml"><font color="#0000FF"><u>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml</u></font></a> </div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of </div>
<div> downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </div>
<div> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster </div>
<div> prior to ignition.</div>
<div> </div>
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