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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Thursday,
April 29, 2010 2:30 PM Pete Parsons<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION
AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>A
strong northwesterly flow aloft will begin to dry things out, but the air mass
will remain unstable enough for daytime heating to trigger a few
showers…mainly over the northern mountains. Snow levels will start out
near 3000 feet and rise to around 3500-4000 feet in the afternoon. Surface
temperatures will remain well below normal. Maximum mixing heights will rise
above 5000 feet for good afternoon smoke dispersal conditions<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> OUTLOOK
(SATURDAY-MONDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>An
upper-level ridge will build closer to the coastline Saturday and Sunday, with
slowly weakening northwesterly flow aloft and onshore flow at the surface.
There is only a slight chance of an afternoon shower, mainly over the northern
mountains, on Saturday. A weak warm front will likely bring some clouds and
perhaps some sprinkles to the northern zones Sunday. Early morning mixing will
be poor, but daytime heating and continued strong onshore flow should provide
fair to good afternoon smoke dispersion Saturday and fair smoke dispersion on Sunday.
The snow level will slowly rise to about 5-6000 feet, by Sunday afternoon, with
surface temperatures recovering to near normal. A cold front is forecast to
bring more rain and cooler temperatures Monday, with snow levels dropping to
4000 feet Monday afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601, 602,
603 and 612 (North Coast Range):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1500 ft early rising to 4400 - 5000 ft by late morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind W
to NW at 6 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind W to
NW at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind W
to NW at 10 - 16 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind W to
NW at 8 - 14 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
1700 - 2700 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 605-611
(North Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 2000 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SW
to WNW at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
light and variable and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
rising above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
WSW to WNW at 9 - 15 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
increases to WSW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
3200 - 4200 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind W
to NW at 9 - 15 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind W to
NW at 6 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615-620
(South Coast Range):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3500 - 4500 ft by late morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
light and variable but favors NW and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind NW
to NNE at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
rising above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
increases to NW to N at 10 - 16 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
increases to NW to N at 9 - 15 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
1500 - 2500 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
decreases to NW to N at 5 - 9 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
decreases to NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616-623
(South Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 2000 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind NW
to N at 5 - 9 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind NW
to N at 5 - 9 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
rising above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
increases to NNW to N at 10 - 18 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind NW
to N at 9 - 15 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2000 - 3000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
decreases to NW to NNE at 5 - 9 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
decreases to NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>In the north
mixing height 3300 to 4300 ft during the morning rising to 4000 to 5000 ft during
the afternoon. In the south mixing height 1500 to 2500 ft during the morning
rising to 3800 to 4800 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind WSW to WNW at 9
- 15 mph during the morning becoming NW to NNW at 13 - 25 mph during the
afternoon. Surface wind SW to WNW at 6 - 10 mph during the morning becoming NW
to NNW at 10 - 20 mph during the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 to 4000 ft by late morning rising to 3800 to
4800 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind W to NW at 6 - 10 mph. Surface
wind light and variable during the morning becoming NW to N at 5 - 9 mph during
the afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 to 4000 ft by late morning rising above 5000
ft during the afternoon. Transport wind W to NW at 6 - 10 mph during the
morning becoming NW to NNW at 15 - 25 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind
WNW to NNW at 10 - 16 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>These
instructions are valid for burning conducted on Friday, April 30, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>=================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Coast Range<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601 and 612<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.
Restrict units in or near corridors to 500 tons or less.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 602, 603,
and 620<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.
Avoid burning in or near corridors. Higher tonnage is possible south of the
Siuslaw River in Zone 603. Call the forecaster. Higher tonnage is possible
south of the Rogue River in Zone 620. Call the forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615, 618,
and 619<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard
guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Avoid burning directly upwind of the
North Bend/Coos Bay SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616 west of
R8W<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
1500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616 east of
R9W<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
750 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.
Restrict units to 500 tons or less south of T30S.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Cascades<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 605, 606,
607, 608, 609, 616, 617, and 623<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard
guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind
SSRAs for smoke to dissipate. From T15S through T20S in Zone 608 units should
be 1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart. South of T30S in Zone 616 units
should be 500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart. South of T30S in Zone 617
units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 610 and 611<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 620 and 622<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Siskiyous<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard
guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Call the
smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> discuss
burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> discuss daily
burning. If the forecaster is not available, <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> leave a
message and he will return your call as soon as possible.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Avoid calling
between 2 to 2:30 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The forecast
is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure
your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>5. STANDARD
GUIDANCE MATRIX:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Greater than
5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind
SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 500
ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * 3000 - 5000
ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind
SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 750
ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Less than
3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind
SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 750
ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * All
exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> prior to
ignition.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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