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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Saturday,
October 16, 2010 2:30
PM Nick Yonker<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.
DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Weak
upper level trough over the region today will dissipate and give way to an
upper level ridge that will build into the region through early next
week. Surface high pressure will build to the north with a thermal trough
moving up from California. This will bring mostly northerly to offshore
flow. Expect mostly sunny skies with patchy fog in the valleys during the
morning. Air mass will further stabilize and with generally light wind
flow, make for poor smoke dispersion.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
OUTLOOK (MONDAY - WEDNESDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Upper
level ridge continues to strengthen over the state Monday and Tuesday before
slowly shifting eastward on Wednesday. Expect little change in the
pattern with high pressure to the north and a surface thermal trough to the
south maintaining a N to NE wind flow. Expect continued stable conditions
through the period and poor smoke dispersion. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.
DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601-612
(North Coast Range and Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early rising to 1000 - 2000 ft by late morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport
wind N to NE at 5 - 9 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind light and variable but favors N to NE and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height 1700 - 2700 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport
wind NNW to NNE at 8 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind increases to NNW to NE at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height lowers below 1000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport
wind N to NE at 8 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind becomes light and variable but favors N to NE and controlled by local
terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615-623
(South Coast Range and Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early rising to 1800 - 2800 ft by late morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport
wind N to ENE at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind light and variable but favors N to NE and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height 2500 - 3500 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport
wind NNW to NNE at 8 - 14 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind increases to NNW to NNE at 8 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height lowers below 1000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport
wind N to NE at 9 - 15 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind NNW to NE at 6 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early, rising to 1200 to 2200 ft by late morning and through
the afternoon. Transport wind NNE to ENE at 4 - 8 mph during the morning
becoming N to NE at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind light
and variable during the morning becoming NNW to NE at 5 - 9 mph during the
afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early, rising to 1000 to 1800 ft by late morning, rising
to 1200 to 2200 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and
variable. Surface wind light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early, rising to 1000 to 1700 ft by late morning, rising
to 1200 to 2200 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind ESE to S at 5 - 9
mph during the morning becoming SSE to SSW at 4 - 8 mph during the
afternoon. Surface wind light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>These
instructions are valid for burning conducted on Sunday, October 17, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>=================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Coast Range<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601, 612,
and 616 west of R8W<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units
should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind
SSRAs. Higher tonnage is possible south of Waldport in Zone 612.
Call the forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 602, 603,
and 620<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units
should be 500 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind
SSRAs. Avoid ignitions north of Forest Grove/Hillsboro or
Sheridan/Willamina in Zone 602. Higher tonnage is possible south of T17S
in Zone 603. Call the forecaster. Higher tonnage is possible south
of the Rogue River in Zone 620. Call the forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615, 618,
and 619<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use
standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Avoid burning directly
upwind of the North Bend/Coos Bay SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616 east of
R9W<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units
should be 750 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind
SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Cascades<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 605, 606,
and 610<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units
should be 750 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind
SSRAs. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles
of the SSRA in Zone 605 and 606. Higher tonnage is possible south of T20S
in Zone 606. Call the forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 607, 608,
609, 611, 617, and 623<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use
standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance
from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate. South of T30S in Zone 617
units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units
should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind
SSRAs. South of T30S units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 10 miles
apart.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 620 and 622<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>No
burning allowed.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Siskiyous<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use
standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL
NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The forecast is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>5. STANDARD
GUIDANCE MATRIX:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Greater
than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * 3000 -
5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Less
than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * All
exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
prior to ignition.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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