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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Sunday,
October 31, 2010 2:30
PM Jim Little</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.
DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
MONDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>On Monday a ridge in the upper atmosphere will
extend from southern California to the northern Rockies and an upper level low
will be centered in the Gulf of Alaska. Winds around these two features
will leave the Pacific Northwest in a southwesterly flow aloft. A Pacific
cold front nearly parallel to the flow will slowly move into the Pacific
Northwest. Rain will reach Washington overnight, then northwestern Oregon
by morning. The rain will slowly spread southward but precipitation
totals will taper off from north to south. Heaviest rain will be in
Washington. Northwest Oregon should see between one-half to
three-quarters of an inch while southwest Oregon will find anything from
nothing to perhaps as much as a tenth of an inch by Tuesday morning.
Maximum mixing heights will mostly be in the 3-4000 foot range and brisk south
to south-southwesterly transport winds should make for generally fair smoke
dispersal conditions. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
EXTENDED OUTLOOK (TUESDAY – THURSDAY)</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>
*** Marginal to Poor Ventilation Conditions after Monday ***</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New"'>The low in the Gulf deepens and the ridge over the
western US expands for dry weather through the middle part of the week.
Transport winds will shift to light offshore Tuesday and Wednesday. On
Thursday transport winds will go light and variable in the north and light
southwesterly in the south. Mixing heights through the outlook period
will have difficulty getting above 2000 feet most areas for marginal to poor
ventilation conditions. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.
DISPERSION</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601, 602,
603 and 612 (North Coast Range):</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2500 - 3500 ft.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSW at 20 - 36 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to SW at 12 - 22 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2900 - 3900 ft.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SW
at 22 - 38 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to WSW at 12 - 22 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
lowers below 500 ft after sunset.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
decreases to SW to WSW at 18 - 30 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SW
to WSW at 9 - 15 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 605-611
(North Cascades):</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2500 - 3500 ft.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW
at 19 - 33 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind S to
SW at 18 - 30 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
3400 - 4400 ft.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
decreases to SSW to SW at 12 - 24 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
decreases to SSW to SW at 10 - 22 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
lowers below 1000 ft after sunset.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSW to WSW at 10 - 20 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to WSW at 10 - 18 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615-620
(South Coast Range):</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2500 - 3500 ft.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind S
to SW at 16 - 30 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind S to
SW at 12 - 22 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
3400 - 4400 ft.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSW to SW at 14 - 28 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to SW at 10 - 22 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
lowers below 500 ft after sunset.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
decreases to SSW to SW at 10 - 18 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to SW at 8 - 14 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616-623
(South Cascades):</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
2500 - 3500 ft.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind S
to SW at 12 - 24 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind S to
SW at 10 - 22 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
3000 - 4000 ft.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSW to WSW at 10 - 20 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to WSW at 10 - 16 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
lowers below 500 ft after sunset.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
SSW to WSW at 9 - 15 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW
to WSW at 6 - 12 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>TUESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below
1000 ft early rising to 1000 to 1800 ft by late morning and through the
afternoon. Transport wind light and variable during the morning becoming
NE to E at 6 - 10 mph during the afternoon. Surface wind light and
variable during the morning becoming NE to E at 4 - 8 mph during the afternoon.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 1300 to 2300 ft during the
afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface wind light
and variable.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height
below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 1000 to 1800 ft during the
afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface wind light
and variable.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING
INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>These
instructions are valid for burning conducted on Monday, November 1, 2010.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>=================================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Coast Range</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601, 612,
and 616 east of R9W</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
750 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind
SSRAs. North of Tillamook in Zone 601, use standard guidance matrix. (See
section 5 below.) Higher tonnage is possible south of T29S in Zone
616. Call the forecaster.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 602 and 603</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
300 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind
SSRAs. North of T3N in Zone 602, use standard guidance matrix. (See
section 5 below.) Units may be 750 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart,
south of the Siuslaw River in Zone 603.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615 and 616
west of R8W</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
1500 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind
SSRAs. Higher tonnage is possible south of T29S in Zone 616. Call
the forecaster.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 618, 619,
and 620</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard
guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from
downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Cascades</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>All zones except
zone 611</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard
guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from
downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 611</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
750 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Siskiyous</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
750 tons or less, spaced 10 miles apart, and 12 miles from downwind SSRAs.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL
NOTE:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
The forecast is available on the Internet at: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>5. STANDARD
GUIDANCE MATRIX:</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Greater
than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * 3000 -
5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Less
than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * All
exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>
prior to ignition.</span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p>
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