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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Monday, December 6, 2010 7:30 AM Jim Little<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:24.75pt;text-indent:-24.75pt;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1'><![if !supportLists]><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span style='mso-list:Ignore'>1.<span style='font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"'> </span></span></span><![endif]><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:24.75pt'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Upper air charts show a strong low about 900 miles west of Oregon and a broad upper level ridge over the western plains states. In between a well defined upper disturbance is moving from SW to NE over the state. There is some moisture associated with this disturbance and there are areas of precipitation western Oregon and the Cascades. Freezing levels this morning were quite high although a cold surface high east of the Cascades is keeping snow a possibility down to pass levels in the mountains. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:24.75pt'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Radar this morning shows most of the precipitation is in the northern Cascades and northern Willamette Valley or over northeastern California. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:24.75pt'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing heights will be on the increase today with much of the region seeing maximum mixing heights this afternoon in the 4 to 5000 foot range. The exception will be the southern Cascades where mixing heights will remain a bit suppressed. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 1000 - 1900 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind ESE to SE at 9 - 15 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind light and variable and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height rising to 4000 - 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SE to S at 8 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind similar to morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3500 - 4500 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind increases to S to SSW at 13 - 25 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 605-611 (North Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3300 - 4300 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind ESE to SSE at 8 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind ESE to SSE at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height rising to 4400 - 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind shifts to S to SW at 8 - 14 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind shifts to S to SW at 5 - 9 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSE to SSW at 8 - 14 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSE to SSW at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3800 - 4800 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SE to S at 8 - 14 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SE to S at 6 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3600 - 4600 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind increases to S to SSW at 14 - 28 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind increases to S to SW at 10 - 20 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3300 - 4300 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSE to SSW at 13 - 25 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSE to SSW at 10 - 18 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3600 - 4600 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSE to SSW at 10 - 18 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SE to S at 8 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height lowers to 2400 - 3400 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind similar to morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind similar to morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 1700 - 2700 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>These instructions are valid for burning conducted on Monday, December 6, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>=================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Coast Range<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601 and 612<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 602 and 603<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. North of T3N in Zone 602, use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Units may be 750 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, south of the Siuslaw River in Zone 603.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615, 616, 618, 619, and 620<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Avoid burning directly upwind of the North Bend/Coos Bay SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Cascades<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, and 623<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles of the SSRA in Zone 605 and 606.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 611<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind SSRAs. Avoid ignitions north of T24S. South of T29S higher tonnage is possible. Call the forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 617<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 620 and 622<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Siskiyous<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 15 miles apart, and 15 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The forecast is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> prior to ignition.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></body></html>