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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Monday, February 14, 2011 7:30 AM Jim Little<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>A low pressure system off the northern California coast is headed northeastward toward Vancouver Island this morning. The low is embedded in a broad cold trough is located over the northern Pacific Ocean. This is giving a generally southwesterly flow aloft over the region. Rainfall will be increasing in northwestern Oregon this afternoon but amounts during the day will only reach a tenth of an inch or so. Expect heavier amounts this evening and overnight. Much of southwestern Oregon should remain dry during the day. As the low tracks northward strong gusty winds will develop tonight and high wind warnings are out for coastal regions of the state. Mixing heights are quite high and smoke dispersal conditions are good today. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span class=body>With the renewed rainfall and anticipated lowering snow levels after today we will suspend writing daily forecasts beginning this afternoon. Forecasts will resume when burning conditions improve and activity increases. In the meantime individual burns may be handled by calling the Smoke Management forecast desk in Salem at 503-945-7401.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601, 602, 603 and 612 (North Coast Range):<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW at 25 - 45 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW to SW at 14 - 28 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW at 29 - 49 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind similar to morning.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height remains above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SW at 26 - 46 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW to WSW at 15 - 29 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 605-611 (North Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW at 22 - 40 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW at 20 - 36 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW at 18 - 32 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW to SW at 16 - 30 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height remains above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615-620 (South Coast Range):<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW at 20 - 36 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind S to SSW at 15 - 29 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 4200 - 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW at 22 - 40 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW at 18 - 32 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height rising above 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind decreases to SSW to SW at 18 - 30 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW to SW at 15 - 25 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616-623 (South Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 4000 - 5000 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSE to SSW at 14 - 28 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSE to S at 15 - 25 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3900 - 4900 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW to SW at 16 - 30 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW to SW at 13 - 25 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3800 - 4800 ft.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW at 20 - 34 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind S to SSW at 15 - 29 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE WESTERN OREGON AREA<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>These instructions are valid for burning conducted on Monday, February 14, 2011.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>=================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Coast Range<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601 and 612<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. North of Tillamook in Zone 601, use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 602 and 603<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. North of T3N in Zone 602, use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1500 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616 west of R8W<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1200 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. Higher tonnage is possible south of T29S. Call the forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616 east of R9W<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 750 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs. Higher tonnage is possible south of T29S. Call the forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 618, 619, and 620<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Cascades<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>All zones except zone 611<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.) Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to dissipate. Verify transport winds away from SSRA if burning within 10 miles of the SSRA in Zone 605 and 606. Avoid ignitions north of T24S in Zone 616.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 611<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Siskiyous<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1000 tons or less, spaced 8 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Call the smoke management duty forecaster at (503) 945-7401 to<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> discuss burning. Please do not call individual's numbers to <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> discuss daily burning. If the forecaster is not available, <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> leave a message and he will return your call as soon as possible.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The forecast is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>5. STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Greater than 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 5 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind SSRA. Maximum 100 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height: No burning within 10 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind SSRA. Maximum 75 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * Less than 3000 ft mixing height: No burning within 15 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> downwind SSRA. Maximum 50 tons per mile from downwind SSRA. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Example: 750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> * All exceptions must be coordinated with the duty forecaster <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> prior to ignition.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></body></html>