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<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT
FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY
WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT
OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Thursday,
May 19, 2011<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>2:30 PM<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Pete Parsons<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Please note that
a forecaster will be on duty Friday, May 20<sup>th</sup> for burning related
calls and to issue forecasts/instructions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR THE WESTERN
OREGON AREA FORECAST ZONES 601-623<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>The strong
upper-level trough that brought cool and damp conditions earlier this week
dropped well southeast of Oregon on Thursday and will rotate northeastward,
across the Northern Rockies and into the Northern Plains States, on Friday.
Meanwhile, a weak ridge of high pressure is forecast to move onshore Friday
morning and slowly drift eastward, to near to Idaho border, by evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Look for partly
cloudy skies with light morning transport winds increasing from the northwest
during the afternoon.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>High temperatures
will be 5 to 10 degrees above average, with good daytime mixing.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"'>OUTLOOK (SATURDAY-MONDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>On Saturday a weak
upper-level trough is forecast to come onshore, along with a surface cold
front.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>That should bring a return of
mostly cloudy skies with at least a chance of a few showers, mainly over higher
terrain.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Rainfall totals should be
generally less than one-tenth of an inch.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>High temperatures will likely drop back below normal, with increasing
northwesterly transport winds.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Cooling
aloft will promote fair to good afternoon mixing.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Little change in the
weather pattern is forecast for Sunday and Monday, with a moderately strong
upper-level trough over the region maintaining onshore flow, mostly cloudy
skies, and a chance of a few showers.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>Temperatures should remain slightly below normal with northwesterly
transport winds becoming a bit more northerly by Monday, especially south.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Daytime mixing will be fair to good.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601-612
(North Coast Range and Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 500 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning.</span></span><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
light and variable but favors N to NE and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
light and variable but favors NW to N and controlled by local terrain.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height rising above 5000 ft.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
increases to WNW to NNW at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind
increases to WNW to NNW at 5 - 9 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height 2000 - 3000 ft.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind similar to afternoon.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615-623
(South Coast Range and Cascades):<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MORNING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 500 ft early rising to 3000 - 4000 ft by late morning.</span></span><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
NNW to NE at 4 - 8 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind NW to NNE at 4 - 8 mph.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>AFTERNOON<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height rising above 5000 ft.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
increases to NW to N at 6 - 10 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind NW to N at 6 - 12 mph.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>EVENING<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height 2000 - 3000 ft.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind
similar to afternoon.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface
wind NW to N at 4 - 8 mph.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early rising to 3100 to 4100 ft by late morning rising to
4200 to 5000 ft during the afternoon.</span></span><span style='font-family:
"Courier New"'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Transport wind light and
variable during the morning becoming WNW to NW at 10 - 16 mph during the
afternoon.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>Surface
wind light and variable during the morning becoming W to NNW at 6 - 10 mph
during the afternoon.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SUNDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early rising to 2500 to 3500 ft by late morning rising
above 5000 ft during the afternoon.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>Transport wind W to NNW at
5 - 9 mph during the morning becoming NW to NNW at 8 - 14 mph during the
afternoon.</span><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>Surface
wind W to NNW at 4 - 8 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>MONDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=GramE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing
height below 1000 ft early rising to 3000 to 4000 ft by late morning rising
above 5000 ft during the afternoon.</span></span><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Transport wind NW to N at 6 - 10 mph.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>Surface wind WNW to NNW at
4 - 8 mph.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ALL ZONES IN THE
WESTERN OREGON AREA<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>These
instructions are valid for burning conducted on Friday, May 20, 2011.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>=================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Coast Range<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 601 and 612<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Restrict units in or near corridors to 500
tons or less.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Higher tonnage is possible
south of Waldport in Zone 612.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Call the
forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 602, 603,
and 620<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Avoid burning in or near corridors.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Higher tonnage is possible south of the
Siuslaw River in Zone 603.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Call the
forecaster.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Higher tonnage is possible
south of the Rogue River in Zone 620.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>Call the forecaster.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 615, 618,
and 619<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard
guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>Avoid burning directly upwind of the North Bend/Coos Bay SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616 west of
R8W<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be 1500
tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 616 east of
R9W<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
750 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Restrict units to 500 tons or <span
class=GramE>less south</span> of T30S.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Cascades<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 605, 606,
607, 608, 609, 611, 616, 617, and 623<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard
guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>Ensure adequate distance from downwind SSRAs for smoke to
dissipate.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>South of T30S in Zone 616
units should be 500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 610<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
1000 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Zone 620 and 622<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Units should be
500 tons or less, spaced 5 miles apart, and 10 miles from downwind SSRAs.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span class=SpellE><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Siskiyous</span></span><span
style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Use standard
guidance matrix. (See section 5 below.)<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Call the smoke management duty forecaster
at (503) 945-7401 to<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>discuss</span>
burning.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Please do not call individual's
numbers to <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>discuss</span> daily burning.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>If the forecaster is not available, <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>leave</span> a message
and he will return your call as soon as possible.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Avoid calling between 2 to 2:30 p.m.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>The forecast is available on the Internet
at: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Please ensure your units have been planned
and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>5.<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>STANDARD GUIDANCE MATRIX:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>* Greater than 5000 ft mixing height:<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>No burning within 5 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>downwind</span>
SSRA.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>Maximum 100 tons
per mile from downwind SSRA.</span> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Example:<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>500 ton maximum allowed if burned 5 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>* 3000 - 5000 ft mixing height:<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>No burning within 10 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>downwind</span>
SSRA.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>Maximum 75 tons
per mile from downwind SSRA.</span> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Example:<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>750 ton maximum allowed if burned 10 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>* Less than 3000 ft mixing height:<span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>No burning within 15 miles of <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>downwind</span>
SSRA.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>Maximum 50 tons
per mile from downwind SSRA.</span> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>Example:<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>
</span>750 ton maximum allowed if burned 15 miles from downwind SSRA.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span>* All exceptions must be coordinated with the
duty forecaster <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><span
style='mso-spacerun:yes'> </span><span class=GramE>prior</span> to ignition.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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